Anhelina Kalinina and Panna Udvardy are set to meet in the round of 32 at the WTA Linz Open on Wednesday, with the match scheduled to start at 9:00 AM ET. Dimers' tennis model gives Kalinina the edge, projecting her as the most likely winner and assigning her a 78% chance to beat Udvardy.
The model also gives Kalinina a 74% chance of winning the first set, while simulations show she has a 53% chance to cover the minus-4.5 games spread. The over 19.5 games is projected to hit 56% of the time.
That still leaves room for a different angle. The top play recommended is Panna Udvardy to win the first set, a pick that runs against the model's broader read on the match and is built on simulated results rather than anything already decided on court.
The forecast is current as of publication and can change before first serve. For now, though, the numbers point to Kalinina as the likelier winner, even as the first-set market offers a narrow opening for Udvardy when the players take the court in Linz.
