Janice Tjen will face Alina Charaeva in the round of 128 at the WTA Madrid event on Wednesday, with the match scheduled to begin at 9:00 AM ET.
Dimers’ advanced tennis model gives Charaeva a 53% chance of beating janice tjen, making her the most likely winner in a meeting that the projection rates close to 50-50.
The model also gives Charaeva a 53% chance of winning the first set, and Dimers’ top play for the match is Charaeva to win that opening set. It sees the over 21.5 games line as a near coin flip too, with a 52% chance of hitting.
This is a betting and prediction piece for the WTA Madrid Open, where Dimers says its projections are built on machine learning, data analysis and simulations. The odds were researched in America and were correct at the time of publication.
Tjen’s name has already been in the draw conversation this week, with a separate preview on her Rouen first-round clay test against Anna Bondar, but Wednesday’s Madrid match puts her in a different kind of test: a model-backed call that gives Charaeva the edge while still leaving the numbers close enough to sway quickly with one set.
That is what makes this meeting worth watching early. The model is leaning one way, but only barely, and in a match priced near even money, the first set could set the tone for everything that follows.
