Botafogo and Chapecoense meet again on Tuesday 21 April at 22:00 ET, less than three days after Botafogo went to Chapecó and won 4-1 away in their last meeting. Marcinho, Edenilson and Matheus Martins scored in that match, while Chapecoense had 52% possession but were beaten 7-2 on shots on target.
The last three meetings between the Série A sides now read two Botafogo wins and one draw, and the numbers point to another game shaped by the same imbalance. Botafogo arrive with 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts, while Chapecoense have 5 defeats and 5 draws and are averaging only 0.7 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts.
Botafogo's attacking spread has also been steady. Danilo has 4 goals, while Edenilson, Matheus Martins and Arthur Cabral have 3 each. Danilo, Vitinho and Edenilson have 2 assists apiece. Chapecoense have had a far thinner return, with Walter Clar on 2 goals and Marcinho, Neto Pessoa, Eduardo Domachowski and Rubens Ricoldi on 1 each, while Yannick Bolasie, Marcos Vinicius and Everton Souza da Cruz have 1 assist each over the previous 10 games.
The broader match numbers still lean Botafogo. They average 47.9% possession and 3.4 corners per game, while opponents are scoring 2.2 goals from 5.2 shots on target, 10.7 attempts and 4.9 corners against them. Chapecoense average 44.2% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 5.6 conceded, but they have also been allowing 2.0 goals from 12.7 attempts and 7.3 shots on goal.
Botafogo's confirmed lineup used a 4-2-3-1 shape and Chapecoense lined up in a 3-4-3, two setups that should push the home side toward more control again. The correct score pick is 3-0 to Botafogo at 7.50, with Over 2.5 Goals priced at 1.77. The source estimates the Botafogo bet at 60-65% to land and treats it as a value wager.
