Jessica Pegula is more likely to beat Rebeka Masarova at the WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026 on Sunday, according to a Dimers prediction built from simulated match outcomes and current data.
Dimers ran its model 10,000 times and gave Pegula an 83% win probability, while Masarova was assigned a 17% chance. The prediction is a betting-style forecast, not an actual result, and it reflects how the source sees the matchup ahead of Sunday.
That makes Pegula the clear model favorite in a contest that has been reduced, on paper, to a wide gap in the numbers. Masarova remains the underdog in the forecast, but the model still leaves her with a path if the match breaks differently than expected.
The larger point is straightforward: this is a pre-match projection, not a report from the court. Dimers’ view comes from simulated outcomes and current data, and it says the favored outcome is Pegula over Masarova in Rome.
