Today is a First Alert Weather Day, but most of the daylight hours should stay quiet. That changes this evening as a front approaches, with storms expected to develop to the northwest, then organize and move into the area this afternoon and overnight.
The greatest risk for strong to severe storms looks to be between 4 PM tonight and 6 AM Saturday, when storms are expected to be off and on. Some of those storms could become strong to severe, and that is the period viewers should watch most closely.
After the overnight threat, scattered storms remain possible Saturday and Sunday, mainly during the afternoon and evening. The severe risk looks limited for both days at this point, even as the pattern stays unsettled after today.
The next potential First Alert period could arrive Monday night into Tuesday, when a stronger system is expected to move in. If the atmosphere can recover from the earlier storms, it could support another round of strong to severe weather. Additional disturbances may keep showers and storms in the forecast through Wednesday night, but confidence in any severe threat after Tuesday remains low.
For now, the answer to the day’s big question is simple: the quiet window does not last. The most serious weather threat is late tonight into early Saturday, and then the forecast stays unsettled into next week.