Peyton Stearns is projected to beat Lois Boisson when the two meet in the round of 128 at the WTA Madrid event on Tuesday. The match is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers’ leading predictive model gives Stearns a 68% chance to win the match and a 65% chance to take the first set. It also gives Boisson a 53% chance to cover the 4.5-game spread, while the over 20.5 games line has a 55% chance of landing. The top play from the model is Lois Boisson to win the first set.
The projection is based on updated simulations and machine learning, not on a completed result, and the odds are current only at the time of publication. That matters because Tuesday’s meeting is still waiting to be decided on court, and the numbers could shift before play begins.
For Stearns, the edge is clear in the full-match model. For Boisson, the better path appears narrower but not closed, especially if she can turn the opening set. That is the thread to watch at Madrid: whether the favorite’s overall edge holds once the first points are played.