Jones Knows has backed Newcastle to beat Crystal Palace and keep the score down in Sunday’s preview, with the Sky Bet play of Newcastle to win and under 3.5 goals priced at 7/2. The tip came as Sky Sports listed Crystal Palace vs Newcastle among the matches being shown live, alongside a busy weekend card that also includes West Ham vs Wolves, Liverpool vs Fulham, Sunderland vs Tottenham, Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa, Chelsea vs Manchester City and Manchester United vs Leeds.
Jones Knows said Palace are well organised, threatening in transition and awkward to play against, but still saw a low-scoring Newcastle win as the value call. The case for that view was built around Oliver Glasner’s record after midweek European knockout games: his teams have won just once in their last 10 matches in that spot and scored only five goals across those fixtures. That is the kind of scheduling angle that can tilt a tight game, and it is why the Palace match was singled out from a weekend preview that also included a 50/1 best bet treble.
The piece was a betting preview rather than a match report, but the tension in the pick was clear. Palace’s home resilience makes them difficult to dismiss, yet Glasner’s post-European numbers suggest the legs can go out of his side when the calendar turns quickly. Newcastle, in that reading, do not need a wide-open game to make the trip count; they only need the sort of controlled, low-scoring performance that can punish a team coming off a demanding week.
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If Jones Knows is right, the match will not be decided by volume of chances but by who handles the timing of the week better. For Palace, that means protecting a run of form that has made them awkward opponents. For Newcastle, it means turning a narrow edge into the kind of result that fits the price.